How Live Basketball Predictions Change the Way We Watch the Game
I still remember the first time I checked a prediction model during a game. It was a Tuesday night in February, and the Celtics were down by twelve going into the fourth quarter. The model I was using gave them a win probability of just 18 percent. I felt that number in my gut, but I kept watching. Boston made a run, cut the lead to four, and suddenly the prediction started climbing. By the final minute it sat at 41 percent. They lost by three, but the whole experience felt